The number of students who get in through the admissions process, which is what the term “admissions” implies, is a notoriously hard to measure.
But that’s changing.
For the first time, we’re looking at how many people applied to a college through admissions jobs.
And while the number of people who apply through jobs is down from last year, that doesn’t mean the number who are admitted is shrinking.
In fact, the number actually increased, thanks to a rise in applications from both outside and within the country.
In the chart below, we’ve drawn a red line from 2016 to 2019, when the admissions data is from all 50 states and Washington, D.C. At that time, there were around 9.3 million students applying through jobs, with a record-high 4.4 million who applied in-person.
We’re still far behind the average admissions rate, which averaged about 1.7 percent in the 2000s, but the trend is starting to change.
At this point, the only place where applicants have more than doubled their admissions rate is in the Southern Tier.
That’s the top tier of states where there were a total of over 13.5 million students, and it’s the only state where the admissions rate was over 3.1 percent in-state in 2019.
So that’s where we’re going.
The only thing holding back from a big increase in admissions is the number that applied online, which was up slightly.